The Analyst supercomputer released its updated predictions following the Champions League Round of 16 draw, and the figures were unsettling for Real Madrid fans, as the team’s chances of winning the continental title have noticeably declined.
A Clear Advantage for Manchester City
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According to the numerical predictions, Real Madrid has only a 35.65% chance of overcoming Manchester City in the Round of 16, compared to 64.35% for the English side. The highly anticipated matchup revives the familiar European clash between the two giants, but this time the statistical indicators clearly favor the English champions.
A Significant Drop in Title Chances
Ironically, Real Madrid’s chances of winning the tournament have dropped to just 2.78% after the draw, compared to 3.76% before it, reflecting the difficulty of their potential path through the knockout stages. This percentage is very close to Sporting Lisbon’s 2.73%, clearly indicating the complexity of the Spanish team’s task this season.
Arsenal Leads the European Scene
Meanwhile, Arsenal, under Mikel Arteta, strengthened their position as the favorites for the title with a 27.4% probability after the draw, despite a slight decrease from 29.56% beforehand.
Following them on the list of favorites are:
Bayern Munich (14.28%)
Liverpool (12.83%)
Manchester City (10.79%)
Barcelona (7.72%)
Chelsea (6.86%)
Round of 16 Matchup Predictions
The statistics gave a clear advantage to several clubs in their respective matchups, predicting:
Arsenal vs. Bayer Leverkusen (85.85%)
Bayern Munich vs. Atalanta (76.83%)
Liverpool vs. Galatasaray (82.33%)
Chelsea vs. Paris Saint-Germain (53.34%)
Sporting Lisbon vs. Bodø/Glimt (63.98%)
The statistics confirm that Real Madrid’s path to the final will be complicated this season and that the numerical calculations do not place them among the top favorites. However, football remains full of surprises, and what truly matters will be decided on the pitch, not in supercomputer equations.
